Heavy Rain for HRW Wheat
Heavy rain and snow for the southwestern Plains wheat areas, a continued active pattern for the Central U.S. that has led to drought reduction, and overall good weather for now in South America are the weather factors driving the markets Friday.
MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) — Heavy rain and snow for the southwestern Plains wheat areas, a continued active pattern for the Central U.S. that has led to drought reduction, and overall good weather for now in South America are the weather factors driving the markets Friday.
MORE RAIN COMING TO THE MIDWEST
Recent rainfall and several waves of heavy rain have led to drought reduction across much of the Midwest. A system will move through this weekend with scattered showers and another system is poised to move through next week with more rain chances. Temperatures continue to be above normal, even behind the systems moving through, allowing the rain to build soil moisture and improve conditions for winter wheat.
HEAVY RAIN AND SNOW FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS
An upper-level low in the Southwest is spreading showers across the Central and Southern Plains through Saturday, which includes some heavy snow in Colorado and New Mexico. Some areas in the southwest are seeing some heavy precipitation, helping to reduce drought and improve conditions for winter wheat. Another system will push through around the middle of next week but may or may not produce much precipitation. Those that see snow will see temperatures stay lower while the rest of the region sees above-normal temperatures, even with the systems moving through.
LIMITED PRECIPITATION FOR NORTHERN PLAINS
A system in the Four Corners will spread some rain over the Dakotas this weekend. Another front is likely to push through early next week and may bring some showers. And another system may bring some showers through next weekend. Though systems are moving through, temperatures are forecast to remain near or even above normal through next week.
MISSISSIPPI RIVER LEVELS HIGHER FOR NOW
Water levels on the Mississippi River have risen due to recent heavy rain across the Plains and Midwest. But for the River to have sustained improvements, the River needs to see more precipitation into the Ohio Valley. Additional rain will fall with a system moving through this weekend and another system will move through next week. The region does stay active through the month of November, which may help.
SOUTHERN BRAZIL BECOMING SOMEWHAT DRIER
Wet season showers continue in Central Brazil, being favorable for soybean establishment. Good growing conditions are currently found throughout most of the country. Southern areas had been seeing waves of showers from fronts moving up from Argentina, though a front that moves through early next week may have more limited showers and another stretch of drier weather will be possible afterward. Despite all the recent rain, soil moisture is still lower than normal and a drier stretch could have some impact to growing crops.
PRECIPITATION LESS FREQUENT IN ARGENTINA
Some additional spotty showers remain possible in Argentina for the next couple of days before the next system moves through Sunday and Monday with scattered showers. A stretch of drier weather is likely to return afterward but may only last until the weekend when the next system moves through. Overall favorable conditions continue to be present in most of the country. The threat of heat and dryness due to the building La Nina may be a threat later in the season.
DRIER EUROPE GETTING SHOWERS NEXT WEEK
Some showers continue over the Iberian Peninsula and across France over the next few days. But the remainder of Europe will be dry through the weekend. The recent dryness is starting to be a problem again in the eastern half where soil moisture deficits are growing. The dryness had been favorable in the northwest, but some areas could use a little rain now, too. A system will dive south through the middle of the continent early next week with scattered showers expanding throughout the week, being heaviest around Italy.
LIMITED SHOWERS IN AUSTRALIA
Very limited showers have been moving through Australia lately and soil moisture is falling. With harvest increasing for winter wheat and canola, that will help to promote fieldwork. But cotton and sorghum need more rain. A few systems will move through over the next week, but the forecast is calling for continued spotty rainfall with these systems.
John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com