Nothing But Active for Next Week

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) — A continued active pattern for the U.S. and Canada, wet weather in western Europe, continued dryness in the Black Sea, dryness in central Brazil, and flooding rain in southern Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

SYSTEM AFTER SYSTEM FOR MIDWEST

A system continues to move across the Midwest with more widespread precipitation Tuesday, hitting wetter areas with more rain. Several more systems are waiting in the pipeline to move through the region through next week. While each may not bring a ton of rainfall on its own, when added together, we should see pockets of heavy rain that would keep planting slower than normal in some areas. For those with seed in the ground, however, the consistent rains should be favorable.

MULTIPLE SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers went through the Central and Southern Plains over the weekend and Monday, including some needed rain in portions of southwestern Kansas and other dry/drought areas. Several more systems will move through the region this week and weekend. Chances are better away from the southwest, but there is potential for at least some rain.

DAYS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Several systems will move through the Northern Plains over the next week. Some areas of heavy rain are forecast, but others will see little or none. Planting windows should be open for most areas, but others may find some difficulty, especially those that saw heavy rain last week. Temperatures will waffle around as well but trend is cooler than normal starting this weekend.

ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES FOR DELTA

Several systems going through the Delta this week and next are likely to bring widespread showers and thunderstorms. The rain is keeping soils moist for newly planted crops, but making it a bit more difficult for those that haven’t. However, the region has seen good planting progress in the face of the wetter conditions so far this spring.

MULTIPLE SYSTEMS FOR CANADIAN PRAIRIES

The storm track is busy through the Canadian Prairies for the next couple of weeks, though the path from the northwest will mean more isolated to scattered showers and less widespread heavy rain. Still, it may be enough to produce delays should some areas get hit multiple times. Temperatures will trend below normal starting Friday and likely going through next week.

FRONT CREATING MORE FLOODING IN SOUTHERN BRAZIL

A front continued to produce heavy rainfall across southern Brazil Monday but shifts a touch farther north into the southern portions of safrinha corn territory with some showers for Tuesday. Another front reloads over Rio Grande do Sul with heavy rain on Thursday and Friday, exacerbating the flooding there. The front will shift north again into southern safrinha growing areas for the weekend. Central Brazil continues to be hot and dry though, and crop conditions continue to fall there.

WIDESPREAD FROSTS IN ARGENTINA

Cold and mostly dry conditions over Argentina continue through next week, though far northern areas will catch some rain at times. Overall, the potential for harvest progress continues to increase, though the colder conditions have been producing frosts, which isn’t welcome for late-developing crops or newly planted winter wheat.

STORM KEEPING WESTERN EUROPE WET

A system that moved into western Europe will be in the area all week, keeping wetter conditions going for the UK and France. The system drifts eastward over the weekend and early next week with plenty of widespread rain.

SOME SHOWERS FOR BLACK SEA

Scattered showers ended up falling in far southwestern Russia over the weekend, helping to ease the building drought there. A system in the Black Sea will keep showers there and in southeastern Ukraine for much of the week, a helpful sign for the drier soils there. Colder temperatures have meant frost in central Russia and have been close in eastern Ukraine and southern Russia as well, which may have produced some limited damage. The cooler air continues in the region this week but will rise this weekend.

QUIETER WEATHER IN AUSTRALIA

Scattered showers went through New South Wales in eastern Australia this weekend, which will help with winter wheat and canola establishment. Dry conditions are in place for most areas for the next week, though. While planting conditions have been pretty smooth, establishment weather hasn’t been all that great outside of New South Wales. The hope for better soil moisture will grow as El Nino fades and La Nina takes over in the next couple of months.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com