System Continues Its Impact Rest of This Week

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) — Recent heavy precipitation and drought reduction in the Plains and Midwest, a long and drawn-out system for the Midwest, and overall fair weather for now in South America are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

BIG STORM LINGERING IN THE MIDWEST

A storm system brought a big shield of precipitation through western areas of the Midwest on Monday. The system continues to lift north into Canada on Tuesday while the cold front pushes eastward with continued showers. A secondary low will form over Michigan on Wednesday, keeping showers around through the end of the week, including some bursts of snow. The pattern stays active going into December, so drought areas will get more chances for rain next week and colder air should move in that time as well, helping to cool soil temperatures for fall application in more areas.

RECENT HEAVY RAIN IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS

A system moved through the Central and Southern Plains with heavy rain and thunderstorms over the last two days. Another system could go through over the weekend, though will probably stay north, and a couple more are possible next week, keeping the region active but eventually bringing some cold air in. Recent precipitation has been able to reduce drought significantly over the last few weeks, favorable for winter wheat that is starting to go dormant and should get more of a push next week.

SNOW FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

A system is moving into Canada, but still producing showers over North Dakota. The showers are turning to snow on Tuesday, lingering with breezy winds through Wednesday. Another system will move through over the weekend and could produce some beneficial precipitation as well. Though drought is intense in much of the region, this pattern should help somewhat.

MISSISSIPPI RIVER GETTING UPSTREAM MOISTURE

Water levels on the Mississippi River have risen due to recent heavy rain across the Plains and Midwest. More rain is needed in the Ohio Valley to maintain or make long-lasting improvements, but there is some potential there. A storm that moves through this week will be helpful and more systems are forecast for next week as well.

FRONT MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN BRAZIL WITH GOOD RAIN

Wet season showers continue in central Brazil, being favorable for soybean establishment and growth. Southern areas are getting better coverage and amounts of rain through Thursday with a system moving through. Overall conditions are still mostly favorable in the country.

IMPORTANT AREA OF ARGENTINA MISSED FROM WEEKEND SYSTEM

A system moved through Argentina with scattered showers and thunderstorms this weekend, but missed a key area in the central that has been drier lately. Though some isolated showers may move through this week, most areas will remain dry. Another system moves through this weekend into early next week with widespread rainfall being forecast again. Though some patches are starting to dry out, the weather is still mostly favorable in the country. The threat of heat and dryness due to the building La Nina may be a threat later in the season as well.

WIDESPREAD, HEAVIER SHOWERS FOR EUROPE

Widespread showers continue across Europe throughout the week. It will help southeastern areas that have been much drier while keeping soil moisture very high across the rest of the continent. Though the pattern quiets down next week, additional showers and systems are still expected. Wheat is going dormant from north to south in mostly good condition, though some wet spots are not all that favorable.

INCREASING RAINFALL IN AUSTRALIA

Scattered showers went through eastern Australia over the weekend and western areas on Monday, unfavorable for fieldwork and winter harvest, but good for cotton and sorghum planting and establishment. The pattern is getting somewhat more active for the second half of November, which will be helpful in most areas.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com