DTN Corn Six Factors

TREND: The trend for March corn is sideways for now.

NONCOMMERCIAL OUTLOOK: Noncommercial corn traders held a net-short futures position of 120,964 contracts as of Oct. 14, an increase of 28,611 contracts during the CFTC reporting period as traders had sold ahead of the peak of U.S. corn harvest.

COMMERCIAL OUTLOOK: Commercial corn traders held a net-long position of 140,492 contracts as of Oct. 14, the most recent CFTC data. The March 2026 contract is priced 7 3/4 cents lower than the May 2026 contract, a spread that widened slightly over the week. DTN’s National Corn Index implies a corn basis of 47 cents under the March board, about a penny firmer week-over-week but the third weakest of the past decade for late November.

SEASONAL INDEX: Corn prices tend to peak in early June and bottom in early October.

PRICE PROBABILITY: The front-month (March) corn futures contract finished the most recent week at the 14th percentile, an attractive location for buyers within the 5-year range.